中远海能（01138）今日盘中大跌，跌幅一度超过6%。截至午后交易时段，该股跌幅达6.14%，报6.41港元，成交额超过6700万港元。
业绩表现偏弱是引发股价下跌的主要原因。中远海能近期发布的年度财报显示，尽管公司营业额和纯利均有所增长，但原油运输业务成为主要拖累项。国信证券分析指出，全球经济疲软导致OPEC+减产，原油运输需求随之下降。此外，2024年下半年俄罗斯和伊朗等国的低成本"黑市油"更受青睐，进一步挤压了合规油的运输需求，凸显了结构性问题。
华泰证券的分析也支持了这一观点，指出2024年国际油运市场呈现前高后低的走势，下半年运价环比下滑。虽然公司宣布年末每股派息0.21元，对应全年分红率50.8%，但市场似乎更关注其未来前景。分析师预计，随着国内需求逐步回暖以及OPEC+宣布自4月起增产，2025年国际原油及成品油运价有望同比增长，这可能推升公司盈利。然而，地缘政治事件仍存在较多不确定性，市场预期差异较大，公司盈利具有较大弹性。
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