异动解读 | 周期风险警告引发西部数据盘中大跌5.07%

异动解读
Feb 10

西部数据(WDC)今日盘中股价大跌5.07%,引起了市场的广泛关注。

消息面上,英国《金融时报》等媒体分析指出,尽管当前存储芯片板块在人工智能需求驱动下经历空前上涨,但行业的强周期性规律并未消失。过去六个月内,西部数据等存储股涨幅巨大,但历史数据显示,存储股剧烈上涨后往往快速回调,投资者可能正在重蹈2022年周期逆转的覆辙。当前市场已出现与2022年相似的结构性风险,包括供应商为争夺订单超前采购、超大规模企业高估需求、重复订购与产能扩张并存,这些因素引发了市场对行业周期回调的担忧。

分析人士警告称“投资者的记忆太短暂了”,存储行业需求波动迅速而产能调整滞后,常导致价格剧烈起伏。本轮由AI驱动的上涨周期虽受益于技术差异,但周期规律仍在发挥作用,市场乐观情绪可能忽视了历史教训,从而触发了今日的股价调整。

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