10月27日,贸易局势的缓和为亚洲市场注入乐观情绪,风险资产迎来反弹!日经225指数涨幅扩大至2%,报50312.42点;韩国首尔综指日内涨幅扩大至2%,刷新历史高位至4029.44点。


市场催化剂:贸易局势缓和
尽管市场情绪积极,但部分分析师持谨慎态度。JB Drax Honore Singapore Pte Ltd的首席亚太策略师Sean Keane在一份客户报告中写道:“这看起来更像是一次局势降级,而非一个新黎明的到来。”
彭博多资产策略与研究主管Ulrich Urbahn则表示:“这些进展为市场波动加剧创造了条件,因为投资者需要在央行政策转变、地缘政治贸易缓和以及企业盈利信号之间进行权衡——所有这些因素都将影响到年底前的市场方向。”
下一个焦点:央行利率决议与科技巨头财报
在贸易消息之外,本周市场还将面临多重考验。美联储、欧洲央行和日本央行将相继公布利率决议。市场普遍预测美联储将降息25个基点,而欧洲央行和日本央行预计将维持利率不变。
此外,苹果公司和微软公司等大型科技企业将公布财报,其业绩表现将成为衡量企业健康状况和经济韧性的关键指标。
Pepperstone Group Ltd.的高级研究策略师Michael Brown在一份报告中指出:“本周将考验支撑股市牛市的三大支柱——贸易局势缓和、稳健的财报和宽松的政策背景。”他认为,“如果我们能安然度过,市场很可能会沿着阻力最小的路径继续上行,并在年底前创下新高。”
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