加拿大通胀降温幅度超预期,汽油价格回落成主因

投资观察
Jul 20

加拿大上月通胀降温速度超出市场预期,主要得益于汽油价格回落为消费者带来喘息之机。数据显示,消费者价格指数环比下降0.4%,创下自2024年12月以来的最大单月跌幅。

从同比数据看,通胀率从5月的3.2%放缓至2.8%,明显低于经济学家此前预测的3%水平。6月汽油价格大幅下滑,其同比涨幅也较5月显著收窄。

剔除波动较大的汽油价格后,核心通胀率稳定在2.2%,持续在加拿大央行设定的2%通胀目标附近徘徊。更值得关注的是,央行偏好的中位数和修整均值通胀指标已降至1.85%,这是自2020年9月以来的最低水平。

然而,随着7月全球油价再度攀升,经济学家们正密切关注通胀可能重新抬头的迹象。能源市场的波动性仍是影响未来通胀走势的关键变量。

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