加拿大通胀报告不会阻碍央行降息 -- 市场观察

投资观察
Sep 16, 2025

加拿大核心通胀率虽然仍可能过高,徘徊在3%左右,但这不会阻止加拿大央行在周三下调政策利率,Capital Economics经济学家Stephen Brown表示。由于不利的基期效应,8月份整体通胀率上升至1.9%,但仍低于2%的预期。加拿大央行设定利率目标是实现并维持2%的通胀率。央行偏好的核心CPI指标平均值保持在约3.1%不变。Brown表示,央行官员此前曾论证这些核心指标高估了潜在的通胀压力。Brown指出,核心CPI的3个月年化率处于相对温和的2.5%。

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