美联储是否会在9月再次按兵不动？越来越多的投资者正倾向于这一观点。CME FedWatch工具显示，鹰派货币政策立场的概率持续攀升。尽管7月暂停加息已被市场消化多时，但当前9月延续观望策略的押注已从昨日的37%升至46%，一周前仅为35%。然而，降息预期仍以52%占据主导。与此同时，今年仅有一次降息的概率也从昨日和一周前的24%跃升至31%。这一重新定价或源于6月消费者价格指数数据，该数据显示通胀加速上行，并伴随关税传递的迹象。
美联储是否会在9月再次按兵不动？越来越多的投资者正倾向于这一观点。CME FedWatch工具显示，鹰派货币政策立场的概率持续攀升。尽管7月暂停加息已被市场消化多时，但当前9月延续观望策略的押注已从昨日的37%升至46%，一周前仅为35%。然而，降息预期仍以52%占据主导。与此同时，今年仅有一次降息的概率也从昨日和一周前的24%跃升至31%。这一重新定价或源于6月消费者价格指数数据，该数据显示通胀加速上行，并伴随关税传递的迹象。
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