鉴于市场对美联储政策声明的高度期待,北京时间02:00之后,大盘可能会出现剧烈波动。高盛指出,投资者应密切留意地区性银行板块。
高盛衍生品研究主管John Marshall写道:“我们观察到,自2023年以来,美国银行类ETF(KBE、KRE)在FOMC会议当天的波动幅度异常显著。”数据显示,标普地区银行ETF(KRE)在过去两年的美联储议息日中,平均单日波动达2.5%。
Marshall指出,“KRE在今日决议公布后也可能出现大幅波动。尽管美国金融股自4月低点以来已有一波反弹,但我们发现地区性银行依然未能跟上其与宏观资产之间的正常联动。我们注意到,在FOMC会议前,KRE目前的估值较其正常水平存在14%的折价。”
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