知名房地产平台Apartments.com及其母公司科斯塔集团最新预测显示，美国多户住宅市场的短期租金增长前景优于此前预期。根据两家机构联合发布的研究报告，全美公寓空置率有望在2026年前保持稳定态势。
这一调整源于对租赁市场供需关系的深度研判。尽管近期部分区域出现新增供应，但强劲的就业市场与家庭组建需求持续为租金提供支撑。值得注意的是，预测期内租金年增长率预计将维持在历史均值上方，尤其表现在太阳带和西部高增长都市区。
专业分析指出，三个关键因素共同塑造当前市场格局：首先，抵押贷款利率高企促使潜在购房者转向租赁市场；其次，新开工项目审批周期延长制约供给增速；最后，千禧一代进入主力租赁年龄段形成刚性需求。这些结构性因素使空置率始终在均衡区间窄幅波动。
针对2024-2026年展望，报告特别强调科技中心与大学城两类市场的差异化表现。前者受企业扩张带动租赁需求，后者则因入学率回升显现韧性。不过研究人员也警示，若经济出现超预期放缓，租金增长动能可能减弱。
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