Zhongtai Securities Initiates Coverage on CHERY AUTO (09973) with "Buy" Rating, Citing Early Success in Domestic EV and Smart Integration

Stock News
Nov 27

Zhongtai Securities has initiated coverage on CHERY AUTO (09973) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting the company’s strong export foothold and early-mover advantages. With orderly progress in domestic new energy branding and deepened collaboration with Huawei, the automaker is poised for volume and profit growth. Key insights from Zhongtai Securities include:

**Shifting Competitive Edge in Auto Manufacturing**: Post-intense competition between independent and joint-venture brands since 2021, market share gains now hinge on demand insight and electrification pace rather than traditional product cycles. Success requires redefining user needs beyond conventional "wheelbase-variety" frameworks and resonating with target demographics.

**Growth Retrospective**: Strategic exports and multi-brand expansion since 2017 drove market share gains. - *Early Phase (2008–2012)*: Reliance on domestic low-cost compact cars, limited by quality and brand premium. - *Transition (2013–2016)*: Voluntary quality upgrades and steady export growth. - *Recovery (2017–2021)*: Enhanced product strength, successful sub-brands (e.g., Jetour), and export momentum. - *Boom (2022–Present)*: Technological breakthroughs, accelerated NEV transition, and record sales, with exports leading among Chinese brands.

**Current Operations**: ICE vehicles anchor profitability while the Fengyun NEV series drives dual growth. - *ICE Models*: Arrizo and Tiggo series sustain strong sales. - *NEV Transition*: Fengyun series shows early success; Jetour and Zhijie (Huawei-backed) expand independently. - *Financials*: 2024 revenue surged 65.4% YoY to RMB269.9B, with net profit up 18.3% to RMB14.14B.

**Core Strengths**: 1. *Exports*: Dominance in Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia; overseas capacity ~1M units, with expansions in Turkey, Spain, and Thailand. 2. *Innovation*: Kunpeng engine leads globally with 48% thermal efficiency; production capacity to hit 1M units by 2026. Huawei’s ADS 4.0 elevates Zhijie’s smart capabilities.

**2025 Outlook**: - *Fengyun Series*: Targets mass market with CDM 6.0 hybrid tech; models like Fengyun A9 (15K price segment) and T11 (vs. Galaxy M9) aim to capture share. - *ICE Focus*: Domestic share rose 4.1ppt in 3 years, ranking second among independents. - *Exports*: Continued capacity expansion in key regions to bolster profits.

**Risks**: Sluggish macro recovery, intensified competition, slower EV adoption, and data inaccuracies.

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