加息预期持续升温

投资观察
Sep 24

交易员对加息的押注进一步加码。此前24小时内密集出炉了一系列重磅信息——强劲的经济数据、油价走高,以及一位美联储理事表态支持继续加息。根据芝商所的数据,投资者目前认为美联储下月再度加息的可能性为73%,高于上周的55%和上个月的11%。放眼更远的将来,投资者预计加息还将接踵而至。交易员认为,到明年这个时候利率至少再上升整整一个百分点的概率约为50%——而仅仅一个月前,这种情景几乎不在他们的考量范围之内。

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