纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)今日盘中大涨5.01%，引起了市场的广泛关注。
消息面上，分析指出霍尔木兹海峡石油运输中断带来的供应冲击已大幅推高大宗商品价格，并带来滞胀风险，这对股市而言是一个有害的组合，增加了债券和股票同时抛售的可能性。市场可能尚未充分计价伊朗冲突引发的下行风险，这加剧了投资者对科技股占比较高的纳斯达克市场的担忧，从而推动其反向杠杆ETF上涨。
此次危机推高了总体通胀率，同时可能抑制需求。对股票而言，这意味着更高的投入成本和更低的成本转嫁能力，从而导致利润率压缩。通胀推动收益率上升以及央行相应的鹰派立场转变，进一步放大了市场波动。区域性因素显示，亚洲更加依赖经由霍尔木兹海峡的商品运输，其下行风险似乎更大。
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