港股异动 | 汇丰控股(00005)跌近4%领跌香港银行股 高盛预计加息收益已步入尾声

智通财经
Feb 03, 2023

智通财经APP获悉,香港银行股普跌,截至发稿,汇丰控股(00005)跌3.38%,报55.7港元;渣打集团(02888)跌2.75%,报63.7港元;恒生银行(00011)跌1.11%,报125港元;中银香港(02388)跌0.76%,报26.15港元。

高盛发表研究报告指,香港银行股在本次加息周期跑赢恒生指数,与前两次加息周期形成鲜明对比。但较长期的美元市场利率已经见顶,历史先例表明短期内会多次扩张。去年,银行业已实现强劲的盈利提升,但估值在22年第四季度之前一直在压缩。股价低于周期中期估值,股价有望进一步上行。

高盛表示,该行经济学家/期货市场料美联储将从24年上半年/23年下半年开始降息。香港银行同业拆息也在年初大幅下跌,目前水平低于3%。该行下调对银行的净息差贝塔预测并下调净息差。

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