固收视角-特朗普交易:三种应对思路

华泰证券股份有...
Oct 24, 2024

特朗普交易:三种应对思路美国大选进入最后决胜阶段,最新的民调数据显示,特朗普在关键的七个摇摆州中全面领先,博彩网站显示其胜率上升至60.5%。大类资产方面,美债利率反弹,美元和黄金共同走高,美股震荡偏强,都在不同程度对特朗普胜率上升进行定价。针对当下的特朗普交易,我们提出三种应对思路:思路一:博弈大选结果,进一步押注特朗普获胜虽然赔率略有下降,但胜率依然可观,可以考虑围绕其政策倾向进行布局,小仓位...

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