Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:AUPH) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 33% in the last quarter. But the last three years have seen a terrible decline. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 77% in the last three years. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Of course the real question is whether the business can sustain a turnaround.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.
Over three years, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals grew revenue at 43% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. So on the face of it we're really surprised to see the share price down 21% a year in the same time period. The share price makes us wonder if there is an issue with profitability. Ultimately, revenue growth doesn't amount to much if the business can't scale well. If the company is low on cash, it may have to raise capital soon.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
This free interactive report on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
Investors in Aurinia Pharmaceuticals had a tough year, with a total loss of 11%, against a market gain of about 33%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. If you would like to research Aurinia Pharmaceuticals in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.
But note: Aurinia Pharmaceuticals may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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