港股异动 | 铜业股早盘回暖 大宗金属价格下行空间有限 宏观情绪转暖对铜价较强支撑

智通财经
Nov 01, 2024

智通财经APP获悉,铜业股早盘回暖,截至发稿,五矿资源(01208)涨7.69%,报2.94港元;中国有色矿业(01258)涨5.23%,报5.83港元;江西铜业股份(00358)涨4.89%,报13.74港元;紫金矿业(02899)涨2.65%,报17.02港元。

中泰证券表示,旺季接近尾声,市场等待更多增量逆周期政策出台,除电解铝因成本支撑外,其余商品价格整体走弱,在长期供需格局重塑背景下,大宗金属价格进一步下行的空间有限,随着国内外政策同步转向,行业有望迎来景气上行周期。

招商证券指出,截至10月24日周四,SMM全国铜社会库存较上周四去库0.96万吨至21.96万吨。铜价回调不大,对现货消费刺激有限。进口铜近期估计到货量较多,预计铜库存比较难明显下降,国内铜消费再度表现出来旺季不旺。LME库存下降0.8万吨,COMEX库存增加0.7万吨。本周SMM铜线缆企业开工率为76.56%,环比下降0.37个百分点,9月中旬以来持续下降。进入明年铜精矿长单谈判期,明年铜精矿供应紧张明确。宏观情绪转暖,预计对铜价有较强支撑。

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