智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利警告投资者,进入2025年,它对美股汽车租赁类股越来越谨慎。
摩根士丹利分析师Adam Jonas表示,尽管2024年的旅行趋势总体保持稳定,但投资者现在的关注点转向了定价前景。Jonas强调:“我们认为,随着第三季度飓风的影响消退,以及Enterprise继续更新车队以使其在机场更具竞争力,市场竞争日益加剧,2025财年的定价不确定性可能会继续上升。机场占赫兹租车(HTZ.US)和安飞士(CAR.US)客运量的66%以上。”
Jonas表示,二手车价格在2024年保持稳定,但赫兹租车的不确定性增加了2025财年折旧前景的风险。
摩根士丹利予赫兹“持有”评级,目标价从7美元下调至3美元;予安飞士“增持”评级,但将目标价从160美元下调至120美元。
摩根士丹利更青睐安飞士,但强调未来市场风险会增加。Jonas表示:“虽然租车公司可能会经历盈利波动较大的时期,但我们认为安飞士在运营效率和财务状况方面具有优势。”
今年以来,赫兹股价下跌了63%,安飞士股价下跌了45%。
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