金吾财讯 | 华泰证券发研报指,特海国际(09658)3Q24营收1.99亿美元/yoy+14.6%;经营利润14.9百万美元/yoy+52.0%,经营利润率7.5%/yoy+1.8pct;归母净利润0.38亿美元/同比转正。若剔除汇兑损益影响,该行计算得调整后经营利润率约5.9%/yoy+2.9pct。公司年内较好平衡开店速度与单店质量,3Q作为传统旺季,得益于运营质量强化,同店ASP及翻台均有提升,拉动收入与盈利双增。不同地区来看,东南亚成熟地区维持翻台及客单稳健增长,东亚管理调整效果显着。该行表示,截至3Q期末,公司共计运营门店121家(东南亚/东亚/北美/其他地区各73/18/20/10家),9M24净新增6家(东南亚新开5家+闭店2家,北美新开2家,东亚新开1家);3Q24公司净闭店1家(位于新加坡)。公司持续调整门店管理机制,推行双管店长政策,3Q提升店经理高分红比例,有效强化激励、带动员工积极性。公司积极推进“红石榴计划”,截至11.25,美国面馆扭亏为盈,新加坡面馆结合快餐、团餐等业态积极探索中;清真火锅、烤肉等单店模型已在筹备(3Q24业绩电话会),有望接棒中长期成长。该行考虑9M24公司翻台和客单价提升显着,供应链优化抬高毛利率,该行上调24/25/26年扣非EPS至0.06/0.08/0.09美元(前值:0.05/0.06/0.08美元)。鉴于公司中餐出海龙头具备稀缺性,快速成长期给予估值溢价,参考可比公司25年Wind和彭博全球一致预期均值23倍PE,给予公司30X25年PE,目标价18.68港币(前值14.06港币,对应30X25年PE)。该行认为4Q旺季有望延续高翻台表现。公司积极落地多品牌计划,培育面馆、清真火锅等新品类单店模型,中长期成长潜力可观。维持“买入”评级。
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