【中国云南橡胶产区将进入停割期,国内全钢胎开工率大幅回升】金十期货11月28日讯,夜盘丁二烯橡胶期货强势上涨,现涨近3%,国投期货表示,期货市场情绪略微改善,国内天然橡胶现价上涨,合成橡胶现价下跌,外盘丁二烯港口价稳定。供应方面,国外天然橡胶供应处于高产期,中国云南产区将进入停割期,泰国原料市场价格稳中有涨,上周国内丁二烯橡胶装置开工率明显提升,振华新材料装置继续停车检修,菏泽信科重启,独山子石化低负运行。需求方面,上周国内全钢胎开工率大幅回升,半钢胎开工率微幅上升,轮胎产成品库存继续回升。库存方面,本周青岛地区天然橡胶总库存持稳于42.35万吨,其中保税区库存继续下降而一般贸易库存继续回升;上周中国顺丁橡胶社会库存重新回落至1.39万吨,上游中国丁二烯港口库存继续回落至2.26万吨。综合来看,橡胶基本面偏弱,成本面暂时企稳,策略上RU&NR观望,BR偏多,关注品种间套利机会。
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