港股异动 | 航空股普遍回暖 中国国航(00753)涨超3% 板块有望迎来盈利释放周期

智通财经
Dec 05, 2024

智通财经APP获悉,航空股普遍回暖,截至发稿,中国国航(00753)涨3.09%,报4.67港元;东方航空(00670)涨2.13%,报2.4港元;南方航空(01055)涨1.93%,报3.69港元;国泰航空(00293)涨0.63%,报9.66港元。

华泰证券认为,航空板块将迎来盈利释放周期。原因有三:第一供给端,供给同比增速有望进一步下降,该行预测25E从24E的16.9%放缓至5.4%;第二需求端,航空作为顺周期板块,近期一揽子政策或将通过驱动宏观复苏,边际提振民航需求,预测25E同增7.4%,产生供需缺口;第三油价下跌有望降低航司燃油成本,叠加全票价市场化改革,航司有望进入盈利周期,并展现较高的盈利和股价弹性。推荐景气度及盈利有望持续回升的航空板块。

中信建投则表示,航空需求或将受益财政政策,成本或将受益油价下行,汇率仍存压力。国内执行航班量基本恢复至疫情前,国际航班恢复至疫情前80%。国内和国际航班客座率尚未完全恢复至疫情之前,但也处在80%的水平。原油需求疲软,地缘溢价减弱,油价存在下降空间。

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