智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股跌幅居前,截至发稿,南戈壁(01878)跌9.09%,报3.1港元;中国秦发(00866)跌5.93%,报1.27港元;中煤能源(01898)跌5.11%,报9.09港元;蒙古焦煤(00975)跌4.58%,报7.29港元;中国神华(01088)跌3.46%,报32.05港元;兖矿能源(01171)跌2.24%,报8.72港元。
消息面上,据中国煤炭市场网,受电煤日耗提升不及预期、中下游环节高库存、进口煤量高位等因素的压制,煤价持续下跌。12月18日,“CCTD环渤海动力煤现货参考价”5500K、5000K、4500K三个规格品价格分别收于787、685、586元/吨,日环比分别下降5、5、7元/吨,较月初分别下降39、40、47元/吨。国金证券认为,传统旺季逢电/煤年协签订期,市场表现出降价压力,预计25年动力煤市场煤价或有下行,预计全年煤价中枢在800~820元/吨左右。
大同证券认为,动力煤和焦煤短期价格虽处于低位。但动力煤整体受冬季需求旺盛支持,供需面相对平稳,短期煤价下行不改中长期稳定趋势;焦煤供给端出现回落,需求端则出现回暖,虽仍不足以改变当前市场买方模式,但稳楼市政策下,短期止跌回稳或希望较大。二级市场来看,煤炭板块近期波动较大,短期基本面不振情况下,受政策热点影响较大,但中长期红利属性优势仍在,无需过多担心。
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.