港股异动 | 中广核电力(01816)盘中跌超4% 机构指其盈利风险仍在 下调目标价及盈利预测

智通财经
Jan 08, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,中广核电力(01816)盘中跌超4%,截至发稿,跌3.77%,报2.55港元,成交额2.36亿港元。

消息面上,广东省此前公布明年长期电价结果,平均电价为每兆瓦时391.9元人民币,同比下降15.9%,并较当地标杆电价折让13.5%。大摩指出,继江苏省宣布明年电价全面下降后,广东省亦公布2025年度电力市场交易结果,平均电价每兆瓦时减少7.4分人民币,同比下降16%,略低于市场预期,预期或会令煤电企业盈利能力变得更加脆弱。

汇丰研究报告指,中广核电力去年的电力生产在利用率更高及新产能推动下符合预期,可继续为增长提供支持。惟电力合约的重新定价逊预期,广东的长期购电协议取得中十位数的跌幅。该行指,公司的盈利风险仍在,将目标价由3.1港元降至3港元,维持“持有”评级。该行下调对公司2025年至2026年的盈利预测1%,暗示在考虑注入资产之前,预计的盈利同比跌2%至增长1%,而且关于收费的下行风险仍然存在。

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