金吾财讯 | 华西证券发研指出,晶苑国际(02232)主要客户包括 UNIQLO、Levi’s 、GAP、维密、阿迪、UA、A&F、PUMA 等,2023 年第一大客户收入占比 32.7%,前五大客户收入占比 62%。该行指,未来公司通过全品类布局及研发设计优势有望提升份额,未来有望提升至双位数增长:(1)短期来看,该行认为25年优衣库、及运动户外品牌有望构成重要驱动,贡献收入增速高于平均;24年自身业绩偏弱的NIKE、PUMA有望好转;公司24年以来公司快速招工,也为25年奠定了增长基础;(2)中期来看,一方面,公司运动、户外品类客户体量相对同业仍较小,老客户份额提升及新客户拓展仍存在较大开拓空间;另一方面,公司此前以服装代工为主,而目前公司通过收购面料工厂补齐短板,未来有望提升利润率;(3)长期来看,公司具备休闲、运动、牛仔、毛衣等多品类设计和代工能力,客户中拓品类、交叉销售仍有较大空间。该行表示,预计公司24-26年营收为24.71/28.13/31.84亿美元、增速为13.5%/13.8%/13.2%;预计24-26年归母净利为1.96/2.35/2.81亿美元,对应EPS为0.07/0.08/0.10美元,25/01/03收盘价4.39港元,对应24-26PE为8.2/6.8/5.7X,仍处于估值中底部,首次覆盖,给予“买入”评级。
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