摩根士丹利发布研究报告称，下调华润啤酒（00291）目标价11.8%，从34港元降至30港元，主要因为削减2024-2026年盈利预测，维持“增持”评级。大摩最新预计2024年华润啤酒销售额下降1%，2025年上升1%，经常性盈利2024年下降5%，2025年增长8%。
大摩表示，下调对华润啤酒2024-2026年申报以及经常性纯利预测6-9%，主要原因是：1）削减总销售额预测1-3%，主因是啤酒、烈酒销售预测下降；2）毛利率预测降低0.5-0.8个百分点，主要考虑次高端或高端业务增长、来自原材料成本顺风的好处减少；3）随着政府补贴的减少，2024年其他收入下降。
责任编辑：史丽君
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