If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Reynolds Consumer Products:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = US$575m ÷ (US$4.8b - US$543m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Reynolds Consumer Products has an ROCE of 13%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty standard return but compared to the Household Products industry average it falls behind.
Check out our latest analysis for Reynolds Consumer Products
In the above chart we have measured Reynolds Consumer Products' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Reynolds Consumer Products .
Over the past five years, Reynolds Consumer Products' ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Reynolds Consumer Products to be a multi-bagger going forward. This probably explains why Reynolds Consumer Products is paying out 53% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
In summary, Reynolds Consumer Products isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last three years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Reynolds Consumer Products has the makings of a multi-bagger.
If you want to continue researching Reynolds Consumer Products, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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