【特朗普即将重返白宫 短期注意风险管理】国际方面，“恐怖数据”美国12月零售 销售 月率以及当周失业初请数据不及预期，短期利空美元，美指小幅回落；避险情绪继续推高贵金属。国内方面，政策真空期。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为，综合来看，1月20日特朗普将重返白宫，宏观不确定性短期急速上升，周五建议严格管控仓位与风控为主，短线交易注意保持灵活性。1、欧线：主力合约切换至2504合约，盘面继续计价交易淡季货量和运价。短期特朗普影响加剧，欧线近强远弱持续，不过昨晚内塔尼亚胡推迟了原定于今天举行的内阁停火投票， 理由是哈马斯在协议的关键部分上食言，地缘因素横生波折、预计今日欧线跌势有望小幅放缓，轻仓抄底需谨慎。2、原油：昨夜伊拉克巴士拉石油公司（BOC）宣城，如果欧佩克要求，伊拉克可以立即将石油产量提升20万桶/日。国际原油短线小幅回落，带动油化工整体走弱。中长期看油价存在基本面支撑，短期谨防回调风险。
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