Chinese Steel Output Curbs Could Trigger Short-lived Iron-Ore Price Rally -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

Jan 28, 2025

2157 GMT - Citi thinks China could look to shut 4%-5% of its steel mill capacity as the country tries to boost profitability in the industry. This would translate to a reduction in iron-ore demand of some 65 million-80 million tons. If it happens, then iron-ore prices could be set for a near-term rally, Citi says. That's because iron-ore prices have historically tracked improvements in steel mill margins, as investors assume the stronger incentive for mills to produce will lead their owners to rebuild iron-ore stockpiles. "However, without a meaningful improvement in underlying steel or iron ore demand, any potential rally in iron-ore prices is expected to be short-lived and should be viewed as a selling opportunity," Citi says. (david.winning@wsj.com; @dwinningWSJ)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 27, 2025 16:58 ET (21:58 GMT)

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This would translate to a reduction in iron-ore demand of some 65 million-80 million tons. If it happens, then iron-ore prices could be set for a near-term rally, Citi says. That's because iron-ore prices have historically tracked improvements in steel mill margins, as investors assume the stronger incentive for mills to produce will lead their owners to rebuild iron-ore stockpiles. \"However, without a meaningful improvement in underlying steel or iron ore demand, any potential rally in iron-ore prices is expected to be short-lived and should be viewed as a selling opportunity,\" Citi says. (david.winning@wsj.com; @dwinningWSJ) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 27, 2025 16:58 ET (21:58 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese Steel Output Curbs Could Trigger Short-lived Iron-Ore Price Rally -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese Steel Output Curbs Could Trigger Short-lived Iron-Ore Price Rally -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-01-28 05:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     2157 GMT - Citi thinks China could look to shut 4%-5% of its steel mill capacity as the country tries to boost profitability in the industry. This would translate to a reduction in iron-ore demand of some 65 million-80 million tons. If it happens, then iron-ore prices could be set for a near-term rally, Citi says. That's because iron-ore prices have historically tracked improvements in steel mill margins, as investors assume the stronger incentive for mills to produce will lead their owners to rebuild iron-ore stockpiles. \"However, without a meaningful improvement in underlying steel or iron ore demand, any potential rally in iron-ore prices is expected to be short-lived and should be viewed as a selling opportunity,\" Citi says. (david.winning@wsj.com; @dwinningWSJ) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 27, 2025 16:58 ET (21:58 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7129","symbol_name":"钢铁","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2506538460","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2506538460","pubTimestamp":1738015080,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"2157 GMT - Citi thinks China could look to shut 4%-5% of its steel mill capacity as the country tries to boost profitability in the industry. This would translate to a reduction in iron-ore demand of some 65 million-80 million tons. If it happens, then iron-ore prices could be set for a near-term rally, Citi says. That's because iron-ore prices have historically tracked improvements in steel mill margins, as investors assume the stronger incentive for mills to produce will lead their owners to rebuild iron-ore stockpiles. \"However, without a meaningful improvement in underlying steel or iron ore demand, any potential rally in iron-ore prices is expected to be short-lived and should be viewed as a selling opportunity,\" Citi says. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7129":"钢铁","LU0214875030.USD":"HSBC GIF BRIC EQUITY \"M2C\" (USD) ACC","LU0572108347.SGD":"Blackrock Latin American A2 SGD-H","LU0254981946.USD":"HSBC GIF BRIC MARKETS EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","BHP.AU":"BHP GROUP LTD","RIO.AU":"力拓","BK4168":"多种金属与采矿","RIO":"力拓","LU0072463663.USD":"Blackrock Latin American A2 USD","LU0106259046.USD":"施罗德拉丁美洲基金","LU0075056555.USD":"贝莱德世界矿业基金A2","BK7507":"资源股","IE00B1B80R65.USD":"柏瑞拉丁美洲股票A","LU1023059493.AUD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 AUD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","BK4006":"钢铁","LU0265267285.USD":"BNP PARIBAS BRAZIL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU0265266980.USD":"法巴巴西股票基金","BK4566":"资本集团","BHP":"必和必拓公司","LU0531970944.HKD":"HSBC GIF BRIC EQUITY \"AC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0788109048.HKD":"BGF LATIN AMERICAN \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","FMG.AU":"FORTESCUE LTD","LU0086394185.USD":"SCHRODER ISF LATIN AMERICAN \"A\" (USD) INC AV","BK4588":"碎股","LU0330918003.SGD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 SGD-H","LU0256859116.SGD":"施罗德拉丁美洲A Acc SGD","BK7511":"ESG概念","VALE":"淡水河谷","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0449509016.USD":"HSBC GIF BRIC EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"中国钢铁产量限制可能引发铁矿石价格短暂上涨——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"RIO.AU":0.9,"BHP.AU":0.9,"VALE":0.9,"BHP":0.9,"FMG.AU":0.9,"RIO":0.9},"content_text":"2157 GMT - Citi thinks China could look to shut 4%-5% of its steel mill capacity as the country tries to boost profitability in the industry. This would translate to a reduction in iron-ore demand of some 65 million-80 million tons. If it happens, then iron-ore prices could be set for a near-term rally, Citi says. That's because iron-ore prices have historically tracked improvements in steel mill margins, as investors assume the stronger incentive for mills to produce will lead their owners to rebuild iron-ore stockpiles. \"However, without a meaningful improvement in underlying steel or iron ore demand, any potential rally in iron-ore prices is expected to be short-lived and should be viewed as a selling opportunity,\" Citi says. (david.winning@wsj.com; @dwinningWSJ) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  January 27, 2025 16:58 ET (21:58 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}