IG:英国经济数据支持降息预期,关注2月经济预测

Odaily
06 Feb

Odaily星球日报讯 IG 集团市场分析师 Chris Beauchamp 指出,最近的经济数据加强了英国央行放松货币政策的理由。英国通胀持续下降,经济增长依然低迷,劳动力市场显示出降温迹象。行长贝利的声明将对未来降息的速度和程度起到重要作用。2 月份的经济预测可能为降息提供理由。这些预测将受到交易员的密切关注。任何向下修正都可能强化货币宽松的理由。基准情况是降息 25 个基点,指引建议在 2025 年逐步降息。更为温和的意外可能是英国央行暗示将加快降息步伐。最不可能但影响最大的情景是大幅降息 50 个基点,这可能引发各种资产类别的市场大幅波动。(金十)

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