【国泰君安:白酒板块预期转暖,有望迎来估值修复】 国泰君安研报表示,白酒板块相对低位,有望迎来估值修复。24Q3起白酒业绩增速边际放缓,渠道承载力趋弱,良性增长成为行业共识,从24Q4及25Q1开门红情况来看库存去化进度一般,我们认为近期股价走势已基本反应悲观预期。经过近期调整,截至2月12日收盘贵州茅台/五粮液/泸州老窖股价对应2025E PE分别为20X/15X/12X,山西汾酒/古井贡酒/迎驾贡酒/今世缘分别为15X/13X/14X/14X,估值再度回落至相对低位,政策刺激下有望迎来估值修复。

金融界
Feb 14, 2025
国泰君安研报表示,白酒板块相对低位,有望迎来估值修复。24Q3起白酒业绩增速边际放缓,渠道承载力趋弱,良性增长成为行业共识,从24Q4及25Q1开门红情况来看库存去化进度一般,我们认为近期股价走势已基本反应悲观预期。经过近期调整,截至2月12日收盘贵州茅台/五粮液/泸州老窖股价对应2025E PE分别为20X/15X/12X,山西汾酒/古井贡酒/迎驾贡酒/今世缘分别为15X/13X/14X/14X,估值再度回落至相对低位,政策刺激下有望迎来估值修复。

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