Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Dominion Energy, Inc. (NYSE:D) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Dominion Energy
As you can see below, Dominion Energy had US$43.0b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$1.78b in cash leading to net debt of about US$41.3b.
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dominion Energy had liabilities of US$10.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$61.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.78b as well as receivables valued at US$2.35b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$68.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$48.2b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 1.8 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.7 hit our confidence in Dominion Energy like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Dominion Energy saw its EBIT drop by 15% over the last twelve months. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dominion Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Dominion Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
To be frank both Dominion Energy's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. We should also note that Integrated Utilities industry companies like Dominion Energy commonly do use debt without problems. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Dominion Energy really is carrying too much debt. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Dominion Energy has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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