【券商聚焦】美国银行:美股防御股“咸鱼翻身”预示美国经济恐“好景不长”

金吾财讯
Feb 24, 2025

金吾财讯 | 美国银行上周五表示,防御型消费必需品和医疗保健类股近期的表现好于美国股市其他板块,这是对美国经济的一个警示信号。数据显示,标普500指数在过去一个月里下跌了0.6%,而消费必需品类股(XLP)和医疗保健类股(XLV)板块同一时期内分别上涨了6.8%和2.6%。在过去一个月里,这两类股票一直是标普500指数中表现最好的。美银称,防御型和债券敏感型股票的优异表现开始预示着经济活动的回落,而经济转变可能引发股市牛市的“中断”。该行策略师表示,存在着“房地产增长意外放缓、财富效应和就业增长减弱、通胀影响消费者信心、美国政府陷入衰退”的风险。

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