【券商聚焦】高盛上调哔哩哔哩(BILI)H股目标价7% 指其去年Q4业绩基本符合预期

金吾财讯
Feb 21, 2025

金吾财讯 | 高盛发报指出,哔哩哔哩(BILI)在去年第四季度的业绩与预期基本相符,且该季度是其首个按照通用会计原则实现盈利的季度。进入今年,在人工智能(AI)热潮持续升温的大环境下,高盛对哔哩哔哩高质量的视频内容十分看好。高盛预计,AI 技术的发展可能会降低视频生成的门槛,再加上广告算法的优化,这都将使哔哩哔哩在 AI 领域占据有利地位。

高盛指出,哔哩哔哩拥有稳定的用户群体,且其视频平台的变现潜力尚未充分挖掘,预计它在广告市场中能够斩获更多份额,利润率也会持续扩张,预计中期经营利润率能达到 10% - 15%。展望 2025 年,高盛预估公司广告业务将增长 20%,游戏业务预计上半年势头强劲,不过下半年会有所放缓,经营溢利可达 20 亿元,经营利润率约 7%。尽管第一季度因赞助活动导致营销及销售开支增加,经营利润率出现波动,但高盛预测公司在今年剩余时间里利润率会呈现改善态势。

基于以上分析,高盛维持对哔哩哔哩的 “买入” 评级,将目标价从 172 港元上调至 185 港元,基本保持今明两年的收入预测不变,同时把净利润率预测上调 0.3 个百分点。高盛认为公司广告业务表现十分突出,建议重点关注游戏业务的潜在复苏情况。

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