• Fourth Quarter Net Sales: $168 million, a decrease of 14% from $196 million in the previous year.
• Full-Year Net Sales: $1.2 billion, a 5% increase from $1.1 billion.
• Fourth Quarter Gross Margin: 32.7%, down 340 basis points from 36.1%.
• Fourth Quarter Net Income: $10 million or $0.09 per diluted share, a decrease of 58% from $22 million or $0.20 per diluted share.
• Full-Year Net Income: $226 million or $2.09 per diluted share, representing 10% growth from $205 million or $1.89 per diluted share.
• Fourth Quarter EBITDA: $29 million or 17% of net sales, down from 30% compared to $41 million or 21% of net sales last year.
• Full-Year EBITDA: $360 million, up 10% from $326 million, with an EBITDA margin of 31.3%.
• Operating Cash Flow: $144 million, down from $389 million.
• Capital Expenditures: $232 million in 2024, primarily for the Little Rock, Arkansas facility.
• 2025 Net Sales Guidance: $1.21 billion to $1.23 billion, representing 5% to 7% growth.
• 2025 First-Quarter Revenue Guidance: $325 million to $330 million.

• Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with TREX.

Release Date: February 24, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

• Trex Co Inc (NYSE:TREX) exceeded its full-year revenue guidance for both sales and EBITDA in 2024.
• The company experienced strong demand for its premium products and improved demand for value-priced products.
• Trex Co Inc (NYSE:TREX) successfully launched new products, with those introduced in the last 36 months accounting for approximately 20% of full-year revenues.
• The company expanded its product portfolio, including new decking and railing products, which are expected to drive future sales growth.
• Trex Co Inc (NYSE:TREX) strengthened its distribution network, including new alignments with major distributors like Weyerhaeuser and expanded relationships in Canada.

Negative Points

• Net sales in the fourth quarter decreased by 14% compared to the previous year, primarily due to a significant reduction in channel inventories.
• Gross margin decreased by 340 basis points, primarily due to lower utilization rates.
• Net income for the fourth quarter decreased by 58% compared to the previous year.
• Operating cash flow decreased significantly from the previous year, primarily due to increased inventories.
• The company anticipates one-time startup costs related to its new Arkansas facility, which will impact financials in 2025.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you discuss the recent changes in distribution and what you anticipate for the future? A: Bryan Fairbanks, CEO, stated that the distribution environment is expected to be much calmer in 2025. The changes in 2024 were related to aligning decking and railing strategies and ensuring appropriate coverage across the country. Some inventory swapping between distributors occurred, but the situation should stabilize moving forward.

Q: What are the expectations for growth in decking versus railing for 2025? A: Bryan Fairbanks, CEO, mentioned that while they do not provide specific splits, they expect double-digit growth in the railing segment due to infill and market share gains. The remainder of the growth will come from the decking side.

Q: How do you plan to engage consumers at lower price points given the current macroeconomic environment? A: Bryan Fairbanks, CEO, noted that they saw an acceleration in demand for premium products and stable demand for entry-level products. They are confident in achieving 5% to 7% growth due to new product lineups and consumer confidence, despite recent fluctuations.

Q: Can you elaborate on the margin expectations for 2025, especially with the new recycling capacity at Little Rock? A: Brenda Lovcik, CFO, explained that gross margins are expected to remain flat at high levels, with some pressure from depreciation at Little Rock. Continuous improvement initiatives will help offset inflationary pressures, including labor costs and tariffs.

Q: What is the outlook for new product launches in 2025, and how do they compare to 2024? A: Bryan Fairbanks, CEO, highlighted that new products accounted for 20% of 2024 sales, and they expect this to increase in 2025 with the launch of new colors and products in the Lineage and Select lines, as well as an expanded railing portfolio.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.