VEEM Ltd (ASX:VEE) has announced it will be reducing its dividend payable on the 17th of April to A$0.0023, which is 70% lower than what investors received last year for the same period. This means that the annual payment is 1.7% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. VEEM's stock price has reduced by 37% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.
See our latest analysis for VEEM
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. But before making this announcement, VEEM's earnings quite easily covered the dividend. The business is returning a large chunk of its cash to shareholders, which means it is not being used to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 85.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 1.8%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Looking back, VEEM's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from A$0.0123 total annually to A$0.0154. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.3% per annum over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that VEEM has been growing its earnings per share at 9.0% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While VEEM is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for VEEM that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is VEEM not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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