Release Date: February 28, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Q: Can you comment on the factors driving the net interest margin (NIM) contraction estimate for 2025 and the potential impact of the new trade finance platform on fee income? A: Ana Mendez, CFO: We observed tighter lending spreads due to a competitive market environment and increased access to US dollar financing. Our guidance assumes lending spreads remain at current levels and includes a 100 basis points reduction in Fed rates. Jorge Salas, CEO: We expect fee income to increase by around 10% in 2025, driven by the new trade finance platform and continued growth in letters of credit fees.
Q: How do tariffs and trade policies affect Bladex's outlook, particularly regarding Mexico? A: Jorge Salas, CEO: Mexico is our second-largest exposure, with 78% of it being short-term. Only 10% of our Mexican exposure is with companies exporting to the US. We have conducted stress tests and are confident in the resilience of these companies. We anticipate opportunities for other Latin American countries to increase exports to the US if tariffs are imposed on Mexico.
Q: Why is the return on equity (ROE) guidance for 2026 lower than the current level? A: Jorge Salas, CEO: The 2026 guidance was based on a normalized Fed fund rate of 2.5%, which hasn't materialized. Given current information, we expect profitability to be at the higher end of the 13% to 15% range for 2026, driven by strategic initiatives and platform implementations.
Q: What is the status of the trade finance and treasury platforms, and will they be deployed in all operating countries? A: Samuel Canineu, Chief Commercial Officer: The trade finance platform is country-agnostic and will initially be piloted with key clients before wider deployment. The goal is to have all clients using the platform eventually.
Q: What countries are expected to lead portfolio growth in 2025, and what are the targets for credit provisions? A: Samuel Canineu, Chief Commercial Officer: Growth is expected to be balanced across countries, with opportunities in Mexico, Central America, and countries like Argentina and El Salvador. Jorge Salas, CEO: We anticipate credit provisions for 2025 to be similar to 2024, around $17 to $20 million, given the projected growth and country mix.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
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