金吾财讯 | 招银国际表示,中国工程机械工业协会周末公布的2月份土方机械销售数据超出预期。挖掘机/装载机国内销量同比大幅增加99%/63%,这不仅由于春节基数效应,更重要的是实际需求强于预期。该行认为近期的宏观支持政策已逐渐转化为实际需求,而土方机械将是项目周期中率先复苏的行业。该行维持观点,更新换代需求的上升周期将推动今年的土方机械销售。短期内,该行相信3月份的传统旺季可能会进一步提振板块的股价表现。该行重申对三一重工(600031 CH)、恒立液压(601100 CH)和中联重科(01157/000157 CH)的买入评级。具体数据为:2月份挖掘机总销量同比增长53%。国内销量同比大幅增加99%至1.16万台。出口同比增长13%至7,630台。今年首两个月,挖掘机总销量增长27%(国内:+51%;出口:+7%)。
2月份装载机总销量同比增长34%。国内销量同比增长63%至4,505台。出口同比增长13%至4,225台。电动装载机销量达到1,327台(同比增长3.4倍),占装载机总销量的15.2%(远高于去年同期的4.6%)。今年首两个月,装载机总销量同比增长17%(国内:+26%;出口:+8%)。
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