【关税、联邦政府裁员点燃衰退之忧 美国信用风险攀升】金十数据3月10日讯，周一上午，相关指标显示美国信用风险达到今年以来的最高水平，投资者对关税和联邦裁员行动下的经济状况展现出新一轮的担忧。随着诸多投资级借款人不选择在周一发行债券，Markit CDX北美投资级指数走扩多达2.06个基点，至53.54点，再创2025年以来的新高。随着信用风险的攀升，该指数走高。而随着信用风险增加而下行的Markit CDX北美高收益指数则一度下跌0.5个点，至106.4，为六个月新低。巴克莱策略师Bradley Rogoff和Dominique Toublan等在周五的报告中写道，如果美国果真在2025年出现衰退，那么将由消费疲软引领。他们认为这一可能性虽然不大，但已不再不可想象。“我们越来越认为，由关税不确定性、DOGE裁员和股市疲软等因素导致的大规模消费下滑是不容忽视的尾部风险。”
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