Odaily星球日报讯 期货市场押注美联储不会在下周的政策会议上降息,但如果对贸易战引发经济衰退的担忧升温成真,美联储可能会在 6 月份启动一系列快速降息。
在美国总统特朗普上周末发表关于经济“过渡时期”的讲话后,交易员押注美联储将在经济下滑时快速降息,期货市场越来越多人预计 6 月、7 月和 10 月连续降息,美联储官员面临通胀上升和经济疲软的两难困境。美国股市和美国国债收益率周一也出现大跌,原因是人们担心特朗普的言论预示着经济衰退即将到来。
美联储主席鲍威尔上周五表示,美联储并不急于降息,因为劳动力市场依然强劲,通胀在向 2%的目标迈进的道路上崎岖不平,特朗普的贸易、财政、移民和监管政策的影响也存在很大的不确定性。经济学家们表示,这些政策可能会推高物价,至少在短期内会减缓经济发展。高盛经济学家周一将美国经济增长预期下调至 1.7%,并上调了通胀预期。(金十)
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