智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报,维持中国宏桥(01378)“买入”评级,并将目标价从14港元上调至17.90港元。
3月14日,中国宏桥公布了2024年全年业绩,股东应占溢利223.72亿元(同比增长95%),与初步业绩相符。该公司董事会还宣派期末股息每股102港仙,加上中期股息,全年股息每股161港仙,同比大增156%,也创下了历史新高;这意味着2024年下半年派息率为68%。全年派息率为63%,超过了公司此前50%-60%的预期。其中,瑞银指出,最值得注意的领域是股息支付,而派息率可能会维持在60%的水平。
由于派息率超出市场预期,瑞银预计投资者会有积极反应。中国宏桥目前的交易价格为6倍12个月远期市盈率(过去四年平均4.8倍,最高8.5倍,最低2.1倍)和1.1倍12个月远期市净率(过去四年平均0.6倍,最高1.1倍,最低0.2倍)。瑞银考虑了中国宏桥2024年全年业绩以及2025年年初至今的价格后,将中国宏桥2025/2026年的预期收益均分别上调了4%。随着中国宏桥将派息率从50%提升至60%,并实现更稳定的收益报告,瑞银预计其将逐步重新调整估值。因此,瑞银将12个月远期市盈率目标水平从6倍上调至7倍,以反映逐步重新估值,因此将目标价上调至17.90港元。
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