在本周的 3 月 FOMC 会议上,委员会可能会重申其并不急于进一步降息,并打算在新政府政策变化的波动性和不确定性降低、前景更加明朗之前,保持观望态度。但由于首轮关税已经生效,且白宫似乎最终会征收比最初预期更高的关税,FOMC 成员现在不得不重新审视他们的预测。我们最近将对有效关税税率的预期上调,预计会提高 10 个百分点。我们预计 FOMC 的经济预测中值会将 2025 年核心个人消费支出(...
Source Link在本周的 3 月 FOMC 会议上,委员会可能会重申其并不急于进一步降息,并打算在新政府政策变化的波动性和不确定性降低、前景更加明朗之前,保持观望态度。但由于首轮关税已经生效,且白宫似乎最终会征收比最初预期更高的关税,FOMC 成员现在不得不重新审视他们的预测。我们最近将对有效关税税率的预期上调,预计会提高 10 个百分点。我们预计 FOMC 的经济预测中值会将 2025 年核心个人消费支出(...
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