招银国际发布研报称,考虑到投资波动和各地区新业务价值增速分化,调整基于相对估值法和评估价值法目标价,重申友邦保险(01299)“买入”评级,目标价由94港元降至89港元。该行称,公司股东回报和价值增长共进,估值上修潜力和空间大。
招银国际指出,友邦保险新回购计划如期落地,年内回购金额小幅优于预期。公司宣布新一轮16亿美元股份回购计划于2025年内完成,其中6亿美元来自集团资本管理政策下,75%目标派付率所对应的产生的自由盈余净额(NFSG)和额外批准的10亿美元。结合1至2月已完成的7亿美元回购,公司全年股份回购金额为23亿美元,对应股东回报率2.8%。该行此前预计新一轮股份回购计划为20亿美元,于一年内完成;若以9个月等量计,年内新一轮股份回购小幅超预期。
报告提到,集团新业务价值同比增18%至47.12亿美元,略低于该行预期;其中下半年和第四季新业务价值增速放缓至13%和9%,低于该行预期增长16%和14%,第四季主要受内地产品切换和开门红增速放缓影响。集团新业务价值率54.5%,同比增加1.9个百分点,与此前预期54.7%基本一致。
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