分析指出,QT的结束可能缓解美国国债市场流动性压力,同时也可能对比特币等风险资产形成利好。然而,经济预测中的滞胀风险可能限制资产涨幅。Bank of America预测,美联储或因债务上限问题暂停QT,并可能在经济增长预期下调和通胀上调的背景下,推迟进一步降息的计划。此外,预测平台Polymarket数据显示,QT在5月前结束的概率高达100%。
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