分析:美联储或结束量化紧缩,比特币市场寄望政策转向

PANews
Mar 19, 2025

PANews 3月19日消息,据市场分析,美联储可能在即将公布的利率决议中暗示结束量化紧缩(QT)计划,这或将为比特币和其他风险资产提供支撑。目前市场普遍预计美联储将维持利率在4.25%-4.50%区间不变,重点关注QT计划的未来走向。自2022年6月启动QT以来,美联储逐步缩减资产负债表规模,而结束QT可能标志着新货币政策的开启,为市场注入流动性。此前,美联储主席Jerome Powell曾暗示QT可能在2025年结束。

分析指出,QT的结束可能缓解美国国债市场流动性压力,同时也可能对比特币等风险资产形成利好。然而,经济预测中的滞胀风险可能限制资产涨幅。Bank of America预测,美联储或因债务上限问题暂停QT,并可能在经济增长预期下调和通胀上调的背景下,推迟进一步降息的计划。此外,预测平台Polymarket数据显示,QT在5月前结束的概率高达100%。

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