交银国际:降昆仑能源(00135)目标价至9.02港元 维持“买入”评级

智通财经
27 Mar

智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,基于10.5倍2025年市盈率,将昆仑能源(00135)目标价略为下调至9.02港元。目前公司2025/26年股息率约为5%。该行认为新奥能源(02688)获以约12倍2025年市盈率的代价作私有化的方案对燃气板块的估值带来提升的可能,目前公司9.1及8.5倍2025/26年预测市盈率仍有重估的空间,维持“买入”评级。该行下调公司2025/26年盈利预测3.7%及5%,以反映对经营开支预测的变动。该行预期公司2025/26年盈利同比增长8.5%及7.3%。

报告指,公司2024年核心盈利同比增长3.5%,略低于该行预期2%。2024年公司零售气量同比上升8.1%,符合该行预期,全年售气毛差为每方0.47元人民币,较上半年0.45元人民币有明显改善,该行认为是民用气顺价比例提高及工商业气量占比高于预期。公司全年分红比例同比提高3个百分点至43%,符合管理层指引。

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