金吾财讯 | 国证国际发研指,舜宇光学科技(02382)2024年实现收入约383.0亿元,同比增长20.9%,从业务板块来看,光学零件和光电产品收入分别增长22.5%和21.1%,ASP与利润率情况均有显著修复;毛利约70.1亿元,同比大增52.6%,毛利率升至18.3%,较去年提高3.8个百分点;归母净利润录得27.0亿元,同比增幅达145.5%。展望2025年由于业务模组策略调整预估整体量增价平,整体指引目标2025年业务稳健增长。该行指,2024年公司车载镜头出货量增长12.7%至约1.023亿件,市场份额全球第一,研发多款新产品并获项目定点;新兴车载业务技术突破,新增多个量产项目;XR业务掌握先进制程工艺;手机镜头出货量增长13.1%至约13.24亿件,保持全球第一,多款产品实现量产,提升了平均单价和毛利率。该行续指,公司车载模组与主流平台厂商深化合作,产品获项目定点,多个产品线市场份额领先;XR相关业务保持市场份额全球第一,推出多款创新产品;泛IoT业务视觉模块应用广泛,获得客户项目;手机摄像模组受益于安卓系高端手机销量增加,优化产品结构,提升了平均单价和毛利率。该行表示,公司2024财年的业绩复苏令人欣喜,2025年面对智能手机市场逐步回暖,智能车载持续渗透,以及XR商业化进程加速,对高端镜头和摄像模组的需求增加,公司作为行业龙头将受益。按照公司2025/2026年27x/22xPE,给与公司目标价86.0港元,较最近收市价有14.3%的上升空间,维持“增持”评级。
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