麦格理:维持蒙牛乳业“跑赢大市”评级 上调目标价至23港元

新浪港股
Mar 31, 2025
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  麦格理发布研报称,若剔除一次性减值损失后,蒙牛乳业(02319)去年下半年经调整盈利增长11.3%,由于去年利润率稳健改善,将公司今明两年盈利预测分别上调7.2%及9.9%,目标价上调10%至23港元,维持“跑赢大市”评级,以反映今年原奶价格将保持平稳,以及经营利润率维持稳定。

  麦格理称,今年至今,因比较基数较高以及农历新年的影响,蒙牛面对整体需求疲弱的情况,因此今年收入目标为低单位数增幅。蒙牛去年下半年毛利率同比扩阔3个百分点,经营利润率显著改善3.3个百分点。公司预计,今年原奶价格将保持平稳,因供应将较为平衡,并预计经营利润率将保持稳定,公司已看到鲜奶、奶粉、芝士及冷藏产品的盈利能力有所改善,目标在明年开始每年利润率能扩阔30至50个点子。

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