【券商聚焦】中泰国际予海吉亚医疗(06078)“中性”评级 料旗下三四线地区医院短期内仍受医保控费等因素影响

金吾财讯
01 Apr

金吾财讯 | 中泰国际研报指,海吉亚医疗(06078)2024年收入同比增加9.1%至44.5亿元(人民币,下同),股东净利润同比下降12.6%至6.0亿元,业绩逊预期。公司表示下半年国内医保控费趋严,导致公司旗下医院营运受影响,下半年收入较上半年环比减少13.3%至20.6亿元,股东净利润较上半年环比减少43.7%至2.1亿元。为了舒缓医疗机构的经营压力,国家医保局今年以来多次表示将全面推进医保即时结算,即患者就医后医保基金结算给医院的时间将从原来的40-60天缩短。该行认为长远看该政策有助舒缓医疗机构的资金压力,但根据该行向多家医院营运商的了解,由于各地医保结余情况不同,政策落地时间预计也会各不相同,因此对企业盈利实际见效可能略需时间。海吉亚旗下的医院中,部分位于医保基金相对不足的三四线地区,预计短期内这些地区的医院经营仍受影响。由于2024年下半年业绩逊于预期,该行将2025-26E收入预测相应下调14.2%、14.5%,股东净利润预测相应下调26.1%、20.8%,目标价调整至13.60港元,对应12.0倍2025E PER(前值为13.0倍,过去1年历史均值为14.0倍),反映盈利预测的下调,给予“中性”评级。

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