What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Heidrick & Struggles International (NASDAQ:HSII), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
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Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Heidrick & Struggles International is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = US$76m ÷ (US$1.2b - US$483m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Heidrick & Struggles International has an ROCE of 11%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Professional Services industry average of 16%, it's not as good.
See our latest analysis for Heidrick & Struggles International
In the above chart we have measured Heidrick & Struggles International's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Heidrick & Struggles International for free.
In terms of Heidrick & Struggles International's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 14% over the last five years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Heidrick & Struggles International has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 40%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
To conclude, we've found that Heidrick & Struggles International is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 109% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Heidrick & Struggles International does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Heidrick & Struggles International that you might be interested in.
While Heidrick & Struggles International isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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