金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,2024年绿源集团控股(02451)收入50.7亿元(人民币,下同),同比下滑0.2%,其中电动自行车/电动踏板车收入同比+11.7%/-30.3%至30.2亿元/7.1亿元。归母净利润同比下滑19.8%至1.17亿元。毛利率/归母净利润率为13.1%/2.3%。考虑到绿源正积极拓展渠道,并布局高端产品,该行预计公司仍需较大的营销和研发投入以维持竞争优势,下调2025/26年归母净利润12%/6%至1.91亿/2.44亿元。新国标落地后,两轮车行业估值中枢上移,该行上调公司目标价至7.16港元(原为6.24港元),对应15倍2025年市盈率。当前股价较目标价涨幅仅为4.7%,维持中性评级。
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