金吾财讯 | 德康农牧(02419)逆市冲高,临近午盘涨幅扩大,截至发稿,涨17.13%,报46.15港元,成交额3.02亿港元。招商证券研报指出,德康长期深耕于生猪及黄羽鸡养殖行业,经年累积的育种优势使得其畜禽成本领先于同行。生猪:公司自主培育的德康E 系种猪自2023 年起大面积推广,降本成效显著;估算目前公司完全成本或已降至13 元/千克以下,成本居于行业第一梯队。公司计划自西南往华南及华东市场扩张,在自营农场与一号家庭农场稳健扩张的同时,重点发展二号家庭农场模式,预计未来三年公司生猪出栏增速在20~30%左右;黄羽鸡:公司充分利用其种鸡资源优势,提高中慢速及中速型黄羽肉鸡的比例;加大华南地区的拓展力度,预计黄鸡出栏量稳中略有增长。该行预计公司2025~2027 年分别实现营业收入256/322/421 亿元,生物资产公允价值调整后净利润分别为44.4/48.8/76.8 亿元,EPS 分别为11.41/12.55/19.74 元。上调至“强烈推荐”投资评级。
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