Odaily星球日报讯 由于美国政府的关税政策引发了对全球经济衰退的担忧，交易员们提高了对美联储今年降息的预期，甚至有人认为美联储会在下次会议之前就降息。 隔夜利率互换市场显示，市场预计到今年年底美联储会降息 125 个基点，相当于五次 25 个基点的降息幅度。虽然这一预期随后有所回落，但升幅十分明显。相比上周，市场仅完全消化了三次降息预期。互换合约还显示，美联储下周降息 25 个基点的可能性约为 40%，这一时间远早于美联储 5 月 7 日的下一次预定政策会议。 紧急降息非常罕见，美联储上一次紧急降息是在 2020 年初新冠疫情爆发扰乱市场的时候。去年 8 月，当美股因日元利差交易平仓而大幅下跌时，交易员也曾短暂预期美联储会在会议间隙降息，但政策制定者并未采取行动。（金十）
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