【摩根士丹利下调银行业评级，因经济衰退风险上升】金十数据4月8日讯，摩根士丹利分析师下调了大中型银行股评级，因为美国总统特朗普的关税政策增加了经济衰退的风险并可能推迟交易活动的复苏。根据4月7日发布的一份报告，分析师将大型和中型银行股的评级从“有吸引力”下调至“与大盘一致”。他们还下调了对财务顾问和消费金融股的行业观点。“贸易局势发展使我们的基本情境转向显著的国内生产总值放缓，同时我们的悲观衰退情境的风险显著上升，”包括Betsy Graseck在内的分析师在报告中写道。值得注意的是，高盛集团的股票评级被从“超配”下调为“平配”，原因在于其对投资银行收入的敏感性。分析师表示，在金融板块中，高盛的投资银行业务对经济衰退和市场形势恶化的反应是最快的，远超传统商业银行的贷款增长。分析师还预计，随着银行本周开始公布财报，管理层可能会下调收入指引。摩根大通、富国银行和摩根士丹利将于4月11日率先公布银行财报。“在近期的市场波动下，显然需要对投资银行业务和财富管理费用的前景做出更为保守的预期，”他们写道。
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